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Is it the latest convergence
stratagem uniting conventional media outlets with the Internet, or just
another example of revivalist dot.com mummery?
Last week’s purchase of Intermix Media
by Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation – for a cool US$580mn – is seen as
evidence of a growing scramble on the part of traditional broadcasters
and media providers to cement their positions online. The deal for
Intermix Media, the soi-disant “largest multi-category online
entertainment network”, followed hard on the heels of Murdoch’s
creation of the new Fox Interactive Media unit.
If that move was dismissed by some observers as mere ‘window dressing’,
Murdoch has now splashed out on some pretty expensive curtains to
complete the job.
Broadcasters the world over tend to be pretty heavy investors in the
web, with sites linked to news channels being among the most frequently
visited of all. Many analysts interpret recent deals like this as
further evidence that broadcasters feel under increasing threat from
the Internet’s potential as a distribution channel for information and
entertainment services that have until now been the preserve of
conventional broadcast media.
Although not yet capable of delivering the quality or quantity
associated with multi-channel TV, the web is catching up fast at the
pace determined by our old pal, Gordon Moore (click here). In other words, if not today, nor tomorrow, then any time soon.
Seen it all before?
Ground-breaking developments should always be placed in context,
however. In this case, several aspects of the that context feel
familiar from the worst mistakes of the first-generation dot.com boom.
Here are five examples:
• herd instinct: News Corp appears have been spooked into action by its
rival Viacom. On 12 July, Viacom’s CBS News announced plans to create
“a 24-hour, multi-platform digital news network, bypassing cable
television in favor of the nation's fastest-growing distribution system
– broadband.” It even dubbed the move a ‘cable bypass strategy’
designed to establish “a 24-hour, on-demand news service.” The Fox
Interactive Media announcement and Intermix acquisition soon followed,
suggesting that Murdoch was responding to analysts at the shallower end
of the financial markets (wholly appropriate where stations such as Fox
News are concerned, some would say).
• price: US$580mn looks pricey; News Corp is paying US$12 month per
share, compared to a 3-month low of less than US$4 per share. That’s a
classic dot.com-era response on the part of desperate buyers and eager
sellers which results in an inflated price. At least, unlike during the
events leading up to the dot.com meltdown, News Corp is paying cash.
• language: "Intermix's brands, such as MySpace.com, are some of the
web's hottest properties and resonate with the same audiences that are
most attracted to Fox's news, sports and entertainment offerings. We
see a great opportunity to combine the popularity of Intermix's sites,
particularly MySpace, with our existing online assets to provide a
richer experience for today's internet users", riffed News Corp’s
74-year old chairman and ceo, presumably speaking as owner rather than
consumer of MySpace.com’s.
• poachers/gamekeepers: as usual there is a sense of coats being turned
by self-styled new economy pioneers. “We are very excited to combine
our unique Internet reach and assets with one of the most exciting
media companies in the world. We look forward to continuing to lead the
market in unique content, social networking, and analytical marketing,”
said Richard Rosenblatt, Intermix Media’s CEO. This from a company that
may well have started out humming tunes of ‘new paradigms’ and ‘death
to the dinosaurs’ as it built up its business.
• if you can’t beat them, buy them: in all convergent transactions of
this type, the corporate hype implies that a gap has been filled, a
problem solved, a threat nullified. In fact, these deals only mark the
point at which the hard work begins, guaranteeing cost but by no means
guaranteeing success (think AOL-Time Warner).
All in all, it looks like a good if relatively insignificant deal for News Corp. Perhaps.
Jim Chalmers
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