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Wednesday, 27 December 2006 |
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Vodafone’s reappraisal of cellular market values may take an expensive turn in India.
‘The rich get poorer and the poor make
us richer’ is a pretty apt summation of Vodafone’s global mobile market
ambitions. A rumoured US$15bn bid for control of Hutchison Essar in
India would appear to bear this out. The company has now confirmed its
interest.
Following speculation last week (click here), in a statement Friday the company said: “the Board of Vodafone
continues to believe the mobile market in India has great potential and
is therefore considering the acquisition of a controlling interest in
Hutch Essar. Such a transaction would be consistent with its stated
strategy of seeking selective acquisition opportunities in developing
markets.”
Such a move would beg two questions.
The first is how much longer Vodafone will continue to keep its
minority stake in Verizon Wireless. Although the company is said to
dislike minority stakes i developed markets, the answer to this
probably lies in a fairly complex set of tax regulations and a
perception that the US, so far as mobile is concerned, is actually
still a developing market.
The second relates to dealings with Hutchison. Its HTIL arm, spun off
in 2004, has a market value of something more than US$10bn. Aside from
Hutchison Essar, it has a rather disparate portfolio of holdings in
markets including Ghana, Macau, Paraguay, Sri Lanka and Thailand.
One senses this might fit neatly with Vodafone’s newfound strategy. One
also thinks that unlocking the cash for transactions like this is
ultimately reliant on sorting out its position in the US.
Jim Chalmers
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