Monday, 13 October 2008
Home arrow Features arrow VoIP arrow Big picture

Big picture Print E-mail
Thursday, 28 June 2007
Internet TV to grow nearly fourteen-fold by 2011. VoD gets nod too… 

New research from electronics value chain analyst iSuppli Corporation suggests a healthy future for Internet TV, with the market for services rising to US$5.79bn in 2011, expanding by a factor of 13.7 from US$422.7mn in 2006.

iSuppli defines Internet TV as professionally produced and distributed mass market video that is monetised via advertising and distributed through broadband Internet connections. The company says that while the early market for Internet TV delivered to PCs has created growth and excitement, the real disruptive opportunity is yet to come. As more consumer electronic devices such as TVs, DVD players, game consoles, iPods and portable gadgets become web-connected, Internet TV will make the transition from computer screens into the consumer’s primary media environment: the living room TV.

But there’s non-trivial challenges ahead cautions iSuppli in its report ‘Internet TV: Revenue and Network Demands for Online News, Sports and Entertainment Video’. This analysis reckons content owners face the trade-off of ‘reach’ versus ‘control’, as they navigate this new distribution channel. Video network operators face the challenge of a new way to reach consumers, as well as a new competitive threat that could threaten their long-term position in the market. Meanwhile, a variety of Internet portal companies, content delivery networks, software platform companies and other technology providers will embrace the revenue opportunity.

“Internet video is dominated by news content currently as that is easily consumed in a ‘snack’ format on PC screens,” ventures Frank Dickson, principal analyst with iSuppli. “However, as Internet connections find their way to the living room TV and the digital transition drives an installed base of new set-top boxes, sports and entertainment content will populate IP streams. The longer form content will drive bandwidth requirements and revenue, threatening the dominance of ‘walled gardens.’”

iSuppli also found that:
·         while news is the largest revenue category for advertising supporting professionally generated Internet TV in 2006, it will be number three by 2009, behind sports and entertainment. Although news exceeds sports in the number of video streams, the longer form sports content drives more revenue and bandwidth
·         the bandwidth required for Internet TV will grow by more than 44 times from 2006 to 2011 to almost 7mn Tebibytes (TiBs)
·         although the number of snacks -i.e. content less than 10 minutes in length - is about the same as episodes and feature length combined, the longer length of episode and feature length content causes a huge disparity in bandwidth requirements and revenue
·         Internet TV will be dominated by North America and Western Europe . Regions such as Latin America and Eastern Europe will not have significant Internet TV penetration through 2011.

Another analyst firm running the rule over TV delivered over the Internet is Pyramid Research. In its recent study ‘Can Video on Demand Save IPTV? VoD Economics, Global Forecasts, and the Case for IPTV VoD’ Pyramid states that IPTV is an important part of the grand telco plan to monetise the broadband network and become more competitive in a market characterised by triple- and quadruple-play providers. However, suggests Pyramid, a mere ‘me too’ strategy of providing linear channels will neither work against entrenched TV players nor convince consumers to start paying for TV. IPTV technology leverages the flexibility and scalability of IP to allow operators to offer content that is more personalised and interactive than traditional broadcast TV. Within this context, says Pyramid, video on demand (VoD) has rapidly become a significant stepping stone on the way to interactive TV, which promises to disrupt the traditional TV business by radically transforming the TV viewing experience and creating substantial service differentiation for IPTV operators.

However, judges Pyramid, IPTV and VoD services are as uncertain as they are tantalising, and the TV business is complex and largely new territory for telcos: the jury is still out on the commercial viability of IPTV and VoD services. Interestingly Pyramid reasons that, because new movies represent the most popular and costly VoD assets, and that IPTV players will pay almost all revenue back to the studios, in the medium term VoD will be about customer retention. Over time though, given a fair wind and an increase in the size of the VoD consumer base, Pyramid can see more of the power shifting from the content owners to the IPTV service providers.
John Williamson
 

 
< Prev   Next >